Wildcard

Deal intelligence for sports cards

Box Break-even Calculator

Calculate the expected value (EV) of opening a sealed box based on hit rates and average hit values.

Current market price of the sealed box.

Average number of valuable hits per box (per official odds).

Average value of each hit card pulled from this product.

Average value of common base cards (often near-zero to a few cents).

How it works

  • Enter the box price you're considering
  • Input expected hits per box (from product odds/reviews)
  • Estimate average value of each hit
  • Account for base card value (usually low)
  • See if opening the box has positive EV