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The Lag Board

When the GOATs run, who didn’t?

When the tier-1 GOATs run, a tier-2 all-time great can be perfectly priced against his own comps while his whole market sits well below the ratio to that GOAT it held for years. There is no discount to detect, because comps are exactly the thing that moved. This board measures that ratio instead, against each pairing's own recorded history.

0 below baseline · 1 in line · 0 above · 15 building a baseline · 0 not yet measured

PairingSportRatioBaselineVs baselineStatusWatch
Hakeem Olajuwonvs Michael Jordan Basketball 2.2% 2.1% — In line ☆ Watch
Allen Iversonvs Kobe Bryant Basketball 8.9% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Barry Sandersvs Jerry Rice Football 94.7% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Bobby Orrvs Wayne Gretzky Hockey 252% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Cal Ripken Jrvs Ken Griffey Jr Baseball 208.6% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Charles Barkleyvs Michael Jordan Basketball 3.7% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Dan Marinovs Joe Montana Football 44.2% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Dirk Nowitzkivs Kobe Bryant Basketball 2.4% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Frank Thomasvs Ken Griffey Jr Baseball 16.1% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Hank Aaronvs Mickey Mantle Baseball 5.4% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Joe Montanavs Tom Brady Football 2.3% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Mario Lemieuxvs Wayne Gretzky Hockey 23.8% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Peyton Manningvs Tom Brady Football 1.7% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Roberto Clementevs Mickey Mantle Baseball 4.9% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Scottie Pippenvs Michael Jordan Basketball 14.9% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch
Tracy McGradyvs Kobe Bryant Basketball 0.7% — — Building a baseline ☆ Watch

Watching a pairing saves the tier-2 card itself to your watchlist, where the daily scan flags listings priced under that card's own comparable sales. That is the other question — this board exists because comps cannot see a market-wide lag — so nothing on your watchlist alerts on the ratio above. Sign-in required; the pairing is saved for you as soon as you are in.

What "baseline" means here

The median of the ratios this system actually recorded over 90 days, excluding the most recent 21 — otherwise a fresh move would drag down the number it is being measured against. Below 8 observations a pairing has no baseline and says so. No baseline in this system is ever typed in by hand.

Every reading is an observation about a historical relationship, not a forecast. A gap that never closes means the market re-rated the player rather than forgot him.

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