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Wildcard → Lag Board → Hank Aaron

Hank Aaron vs Mickey Mantle

1954 Topps #128 (ungraded) against 1952 Topps #311 (ungraded) — measured, not predicted.

Building a baseline Same era Baseball

Measuring Hank Aaron against Mickey Mantle — 5 of 8 observations needed before a baseline means anything.

Ratio now
5.4%
Baseline
not established yet
Vs baseline
—
Observations
5
Mickey Mantle, 30d
-8%
Hank Aaron, 30d
-16.3%
☆ Watch Hank Aaron's card

Saves Hank Aaron's 1954 Topps #128 (ungraded) to your watchlist, where the daily scan flags listings priced under that card's own comparable sales. That is a different question from this board: the watchlist will not tell you when this ratio moves, and nothing here alerts on the gap.

held out of the baseline3%4%5%6%7%8%9%10%28 Aug — 3.6% peer $1,800 / anchor $50,00030 Aug — 3.6% peer $1,800 / anchor $50,00031 Aug — 3.6% peer $1,800 / anchor $50,0004 Sep — 3.4% peer $1,675 / anchor $50,0005 Sep — 3.4% peer $1,675 / anchor $50,0006 Sep — 3.4% peer $1,675 / anchor $50,0007 Sep — 3.4% peer $1,675 / anchor $50,0008 Sep — 4.2% peer $2,082 / anchor $50,0009 Sep — 4.2% peer $2,082 / anchor $50,00010 Sep — 4.2% peer $2,082 / anchor $50,00011 Sep — 4.2% peer $2,082 / anchor $50,00012 Sep — 5% peer $2,082 / anchor $41,47013 Sep — 5% peer $2,080 / anchor $41,47014 Sep — 5% peer $2,080 / anchor $41,47015 Sep — 5% peer $2,080 / anchor $41,47016 Sep — 5% peer $2,080 / anchor $41,47017 Sep — 5.3% peer $2,080 / anchor $39,42418 Sep — 5.2% peer $2,055 / anchor $39,42419 Sep — 5.2% peer $2,055 / anchor $39,42420 Sep — 5.2% peer $2,055 / anchor $39,42421 Sep — 5.2% peer $2,055 / anchor $39,42422 Sep — 5.1% peer $2,055 / anchor $39,99923 Sep — 7.3% peer $2,916 / anchor $39,99924 Sep — 7.3% peer $2,916 / anchor $39,99925 Sep — 7.3% peer $2,916 / anchor $39,99926 Sep — 7.3% peer $2,916 / anchor $39,99927 Sep — 7.3% peer $2,916 / anchor $39,99928 Sep — 7.3% peer $2,929 / anchor $39,99929 Sep — 6.7% peer $2,929 / anchor $43,92030 Sep — 6.7% peer $2,929 / anchor $43,9201 Oct — 6.7% peer $2,929 / anchor $43,9202 Oct — 6.7% peer $2,929 / anchor $43,9203 Oct — 6.7% peer $2,929 / anchor $43,9204 Oct — 6.7% peer $2,929 / anchor $43,9205 Oct — 6% peer $2,929 / anchor $48,6826 Oct — 6% peer $2,929 / anchor $48,6827 Oct — 6% peer $2,929 / anchor $48,6828 Oct — 6% peer $2,929 / anchor $48,6829 Oct — 9.4% peer $7,970 / anchor $85,00010 Oct — 5.5% peer $2,688 / anchor $48,68211 Oct — 5.9% peer $2,688 / anchor $45,59812 Oct — 5.9% peer $2,688 / anchor $45,59813 Oct — 6.2% peer $5,597 / anchor $90,00014 Oct — 5.9% peer $2,688 / anchor $45,59815 Oct — 4.9% peer $2,250 / anchor $45,59816 Oct — 5.4% peer $2,250 / anchor $41,96017 Oct — 5.4% peer $2,250 / anchor $41,96018 Oct — 5.4% peer $2,250 / anchor $41,9605.4% now28 Aug18 Oct
Ratio of Hank Aaron's 1954 Topps #128 (ungraded) to Mickey Mantle's 1952 Topps #311 (ungraded). Gold fill marks where the ratio sits below the baseline, rose where it sits above. The shaded stretch on the right is held out of the baseline on purpose — see the method below. Hover any point for its values; every number is in the table.
Every recorded observation
ObservedRatioPeerAnchorvs baseline
2026-10-185.4%$2,250$41,960—
2026-10-175.4%$2,250$41,960—
2026-10-165.4%$2,250$41,960—
2026-10-154.9%$2,250$45,598—
2026-10-145.9%$2,688$45,598—
2026-10-136.2%$5,597$90,000—
2026-10-125.9%$2,688$45,598—
2026-10-115.9%$2,688$45,598—
2026-10-105.5%$2,688$48,682—
2026-10-099.4%$7,970$85,000—
2026-10-086%$2,929$48,682—
2026-10-076%$2,929$48,682—
2026-10-066%$2,929$48,682—
2026-10-056%$2,929$48,682—
2026-10-046.7%$2,929$43,920—
2026-10-036.7%$2,929$43,920—
2026-10-026.7%$2,929$43,920—
2026-10-016.7%$2,929$43,920—
2026-09-306.7%$2,929$43,920—
2026-09-296.7%$2,929$43,920—
2026-09-287.3%$2,929$39,999—
2026-09-277.3%$2,916$39,999—
2026-09-267.3%$2,916$39,999—
2026-09-257.3%$2,916$39,999—
2026-09-247.3%$2,916$39,999—
2026-09-237.3%$2,916$39,999—
2026-09-225.1%$2,055$39,999—
2026-09-215.2%$2,055$39,424—
2026-09-205.2%$2,055$39,424—
2026-09-195.2%$2,055$39,424—
2026-09-185.2%$2,055$39,424—
2026-09-175.3%$2,080$39,424—
2026-09-165%$2,080$41,470—
2026-09-155%$2,080$41,470—
2026-09-145%$2,080$41,470—
2026-09-135%$2,080$41,470—
2026-09-125%$2,082$41,470—
2026-09-114.2%$2,082$50,000—
2026-09-104.2%$2,082$50,000—
2026-09-094.2%$2,082$50,000—

Why these two

Two cards that anchor 1950s Topps — Aaron's 1954 rookie and the 1952 Mantle — sold through the same auction houses to the same buyers on the same grade ladder.

What would make this wrong

Aaron held the career home-run record from 1974 until Barry Bonds passed him in 2007, so the pairing rests on standing rather than on a record still held. The 1952 Mantle is also a trophy asset that trades on headline-auction dynamics rather than on baseball, and a ratio against it can widen indefinitely without the Aaron being cheap. Both legs are measured ungraded: the price guide carries no grade-4 tier, and a stated grade it cannot resolve would quietly become the raw price anyway.

How this is measured

Priced on ungraded (raw) copies, the grade this pairing names.

Each scan records one number: the fair value of Hank Aaron's 1954 Topps #128 (ungraded) divided by the fair value of Mickey Mantle's 1952 Topps #311 (ungraded), both from comparable sales. The baseline is the median of those observations over 90 days — excluding the most recent 21, so a fresh move cannot drag down the very number it is being measured against. Below 8 observations there is no baseline and this page says so instead of showing one.

The baseline is never authored. It is the median of what was recorded, or it does not exist. Nobody types a target ratio into this system.

This is an observation about a historical relationship, not a forecast. A gap that never closes means the market permanently re-rated Hank Aaron rather than temporarily forgot him — that is the risk in every pairing here, and it does not mean-revert on a schedule.

Look at the actual cards

Other pairings on the Lag Board

Roberto Clemente vs Mickey MantleFrank Thomas vs Ken Griffey JrCal Ripken Jr vs Ken Griffey JrMario Lemieux vs Wayne Gretzky

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