Wildcard → Lag Board → Frank Thomas
Frank Thomas vs Ken Griffey Jr
1990 Leaf #300 against 1989 Upper Deck #1 — measured, not predicted.
Building a baseline Same era Baseball
Measuring Frank Thomas against Ken Griffey Jr — 7 of 8 observations needed before a baseline means anything.
- Ratio now
- 16.1%
- Baseline
- not established yet
- Vs baseline
- —
- Observations
- 7
- Ken Griffey Jr, 30d
- -0.3%
- Frank Thomas, 30d
- -9.4%
Saves Frank Thomas's 1990 Leaf #300 to your watchlist, where the daily scan flags listings priced under that card's own comparable sales. That is a different question from this board: the watchlist will not tell you when this ratio moves, and nothing here alerts on the gap.
Every recorded observation
| Observed | Ratio | Peer | Anchor | vs baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 16.1% | $16 | $96 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | 17.2% | $17 | $96 | — |
| 2026-10-17 | 17.1% | $17 | $96 | — |
| 2026-10-16 | 17.1% | $17 | $96 | — |
| 2026-10-15 | 17.1% | $17 | $96 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | 17.8% | $17 | $96 | — |
| 2026-10-13 | 17.8% | $17 | $96 | — |
| 2026-10-10 | 9.6% | $48 | $500 | — |
| 2026-10-09 | 9.6% | $48 | $500 | — |
| 2026-10-07 | 15.5% | $15 | $97 | — |
| 2026-10-06 | 15.5% | $15 | $97 | — |
| 2026-10-05 | 15.5% | $15 | $97 | — |
| 2026-10-04 | 16.2% | $15 | $93 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | 16.2% | $15 | $93 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | 15.5% | $15 | $97 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | 15.5% | $15 | $97 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 15.5% | $15 | $97 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | 15.5% | $15 | $97 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | 14.4% | $15 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | 15.7% | $16 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | 15.7% | $16 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | 13% | $16 | $126 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | 11.9% | $15 | $126 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | 11.9% | $15 | $126 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | 11.9% | $15 | $126 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | 11.9% | $15 | $126 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | 12% | $15 | $126 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | 12% | $15 | $126 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | 12% | $15 | $126 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | 12.2% | $15 | $123 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | 12.2% | $15 | $123 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | 12.3% | $15 | $123 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | 12.3% | $15 | $123 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | 12.3% | $15 | $123 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | 11.4% | $15 | $132 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | 11.4% | $15 | $132 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | 14.6% | $17 | $117 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | 14.6% | $17 | $117 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | 14.6% | $17 | $117 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | 14.6% | $17 | $117 | — |
Why these two
The two rookie cards most associated with the premium-set boom that Upper Deck started in 1989 and Leaf followed in 1990 — bought by the same collector rebuilding the same childhood.
What would make this wrong
Both are high-population cards where grade migration, not demand, drives most of the price action. A ratio between two of those is measuring the graders as much as the market.
How this is measured
Priced on ungraded (raw) copies, not the PSA 9 this pairing names — the price guide returned no value for those grades on this subscription, so both cards fell back to the same basis. The ratio is a like-for-like comparison and the history is sound; the grade in the card names above is what it does not describe.
Each scan records one number: the fair value of Frank Thomas's 1990 Leaf #300 divided by the fair value of Ken Griffey Jr's 1989 Upper Deck #1, both from comparable sales. The baseline is the median of those observations over 90 days — excluding the most recent 21, so a fresh move cannot drag down the very number it is being measured against. Below 8 observations there is no baseline and this page says so instead of showing one.
The baseline is never authored. It is the median of what was recorded, or it does not exist. Nobody types a target ratio into this system.
This is an observation about a historical relationship, not a forecast. A gap that never closes means the market permanently re-rated Frank Thomas rather than temporarily forgot him — that is the risk in every pairing here, and it does not mean-revert on a schedule.
Look at the actual cards
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The ratio above is one question; whether a specific Frank Thomas listing is cheap against its own completed sales is another. Watch the card and the daily scan emails you when one is. Free, no account.
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