Boxes · Soccer

2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga

Hobby Box · Soccer

🪙 Coin Flip

Rip ★★★★☆ · Hold ★★★☆☆ · Buy ≤ $65

2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga (Hobby Box) is close to break-even — about $60 of expected value against $70 street (86%). A coin flip, not free money. It rips +EV only below $63.

Street price$70
Est. EV$60
EV / price86%
Rip below$63
Profit below$51
$500+ hit4%

What's in the box

  • 1 autograph + 6+ refractors per box
  • Wirtz, Musiala, Bellingham, Mané
  • Numbered refractor parallels

A coin flip and the sleeper of the group: a cheaper chrome with genuine young-star rookies (Wirtz, Musiala). About $110 of value against a ~$130 box — near break-even, and some hold it on the Wirtz/Musiala trajectory. Rips +EV only below break-even.

The cards worth chasing

Questions

Is a 2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga (Hobby Box) worth buying?

2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga (Hobby Box) is close to break-even — about $60 of expected value against $70 street (86%). A coin flip, not free money. It rips +EV only below $63.

What is the expected value of a 2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga (Hobby Box)?

Wildcard estimates about $60 of card value inside a 2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga (Hobby Box), against a typical street price of $70 — roughly 86% of what you pay. These are directional editorial estimates from odds sheets and recent sales, not guarantees.

At what price is a 2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga (Hobby Box) worth ripping?

A 2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga (Hobby Box) breaks even to open at about $63 (rip below that if you're keeping the cards), and is +EV even after selling fees below about $51. Above that, buy the singles you want instead.

Find 2022-23 Topps Chrome Bundesliga boxes on eBay → See live boxes priced under break-even →