Wildcard → Lag Board → Charles Barkley
Charles Barkley vs Michael Jordan
1986-87 Fleer #7 against 1986-87 Fleer #57 — measured, not predicted.
Building a baseline Same set Basketball
Measuring Charles Barkley against Michael Jordan — 7 of 8 observations needed before a baseline means anything.
- Ratio now
- 3.7%
- Baseline
- not established yet
- Vs baseline
- —
- Observations
- 7
- Michael Jordan, 30d
- -2.8%
- Charles Barkley, 30d
- +7.4%
Saves Charles Barkley's 1986-87 Fleer #7 to your watchlist, where the daily scan flags listings priced under that card's own comparable sales. That is a different question from this board: the watchlist will not tell you when this ratio moves, and nothing here alerts on the gap.
Every recorded observation
| Observed | Ratio | Peer | Anchor | vs baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 3.7% | $169 | $4,525 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | 3.7% | $169 | $4,525 | — |
| 2026-10-17 | 3.7% | $169 | $4,525 | — |
| 2026-10-16 | 3.8% | $174 | $4,525 | — |
| 2026-10-15 | 3.8% | $174 | $4,525 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | 3.4% | $157 | $4,654 | — |
| 2026-10-13 | 3.4% | $157 | $4,654 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | 2.8% | $555 | $19,923 | — |
| 2026-10-08 | 3.7% | $170 | $4,654 | — |
| 2026-10-07 | 3.8% | $170 | $4,528 | — |
| 2026-10-06 | 3.6% | $162 | $4,528 | — |
| 2026-10-05 | 3.6% | $162 | $4,528 | — |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.4% | $162 | $4,809 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.4% | $162 | $4,809 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.7% | $179 | $4,809 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.8% | $179 | $4,741 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 4.3% | $179 | $4,147 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | 4.3% | $179 | $4,147 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | 4.3% | $179 | $4,147 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | 4% | $192 | $4,779 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | 4% | $192 | $4,779 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | 4% | $192 | $4,779 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | 4% | $192 | $4,779 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | 4% | $189 | $4,758 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | 4% | $189 | $4,758 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | 4% | $189 | $4,758 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.2% | $195 | $4,677 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | 4.2% | $195 | $4,677 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | 4.1% | $195 | $4,729 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | 4.1% | $195 | $4,729 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | 4.1% | $195 | $4,729 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | 4.1% | $195 | $4,729 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | 4.1% | $189 | $4,554 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | 4.1% | $189 | $4,554 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | 4% | $189 | $4,729 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | 4% | $189 | $4,729 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | 3.6% | $172 | $4,729 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | 3.9% | $172 | $4,388 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | 3.9% | $172 | $4,388 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | 3.9% | $170 | $4,388 | — |
Why these two
Same set, same 132 cards, same 1984 draft class — Barkley went fifth, Jordan third — and the set is checklisted alphabetically, so the two cards were printed and pulled under identical conditions.
What would make this wrong
Barkley never won a title, and ring count is a persistent rather than cyclical input to what vintage basketball cards fetch. If that is what the gap is made of, it is a verdict the market has already reached and not one it is going to reconsider on a schedule.
How this is measured
Priced on ungraded (raw) copies, not the PSA 8 this pairing names — the price guide returned no value for those grades on this subscription, so both cards fell back to the same basis. The ratio is a like-for-like comparison and the history is sound; the grade in the card names above is what it does not describe.
Each scan records one number: the fair value of Charles Barkley's 1986-87 Fleer #7 divided by the fair value of Michael Jordan's 1986-87 Fleer #57, both from comparable sales. The baseline is the median of those observations over 90 days — excluding the most recent 21, so a fresh move cannot drag down the very number it is being measured against. Below 8 observations there is no baseline and this page says so instead of showing one.
The baseline is never authored. It is the median of what was recorded, or it does not exist. Nobody types a target ratio into this system.
This is an observation about a historical relationship, not a forecast. A gap that never closes means the market permanently re-rated Charles Barkley rather than temporarily forgot him — that is the risk in every pairing here, and it does not mean-revert on a schedule.
Look at the actual cards
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