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Wildcard → Lag Board → Barry Sanders

Barry Sanders vs Jerry Rice

1989 Score #257 against 1986 Topps #161 — measured, not predicted.

Building a baseline Same era Football

Measuring Barry Sanders against Jerry Rice — 5 of 8 observations needed before a baseline means anything.

Ratio now
94.7%
Baseline
not established yet
Vs baseline
—
Observations
5
Jerry Rice, 30d
+11.8%
Barry Sanders, 30d
+10.7%
☆ Watch Barry Sanders's card

Saves Barry Sanders's 1989 Score #257 to your watchlist, where the daily scan flags listings priced under that card's own comparable sales. That is a different question from this board: the watchlist will not tell you when this ratio moves, and nothing here alerts on the gap.

held out of the baseline40%60%80%100%120%28 Aug — 98.2% peer $52 / anchor $5329 Aug — 98.2% peer $52 / anchor $532 Sep — 109.6% peer $57 / anchor $524 Sep — 105.8% peer $57 / anchor $547 Sep — 102% peer $55 / anchor $548 Sep — 106.7% peer $58 / anchor $549 Sep — 106.7% peer $58 / anchor $5410 Sep — 115% peer $58 / anchor $5011 Sep — 107.9% peer $54 / anchor $5012 Sep — 102.6% peer $54 / anchor $5313 Sep — 102.6% peer $54 / anchor $5314 Sep — 102.6% peer $54 / anchor $5315 Sep — 90.8% peer $50 / anchor $5516 Sep — 90.8% peer $50 / anchor $5517 Sep — 90.8% peer $50 / anchor $5518 Sep — 81.4% peer $50 / anchor $6119 Sep — 81.4% peer $50 / anchor $6120 Sep — 81.4% peer $50 / anchor $6121 Sep — 81.4% peer $50 / anchor $6122 Sep — 82.5% peer $50 / anchor $6023 Sep — 82.5% peer $50 / anchor $6024 Sep — 71.2% peer $50 / anchor $7025 Sep — 71.2% peer $50 / anchor $7026 Sep — 71.2% peer $50 / anchor $7027 Sep — 78.2% peer $48 / anchor $6228 Sep — 78.2% peer $48 / anchor $6230 Sep — 78.2% peer $48 / anchor $621 Oct — 77.1% peer $48 / anchor $622 Oct — 77.1% peer $48 / anchor $623 Oct — 76.6% peer $48 / anchor $634 Oct — 78.2% peer $49 / anchor $635 Oct — 78.2% peer $49 / anchor $636 Oct — 81.7% peer $49 / anchor $607 Oct — 81.7% peer $49 / anchor $608 Oct — 81.7% peer $49 / anchor $609 Oct — 44.7% peer $210 / anchor $47010 Oct — 53.7% peer $224 / anchor $41711 Oct — 77.2% peer $213 / anchor $27612 Oct — 47.9% peer $225 / anchor $47013 Oct — 47.5% peer $224 / anchor $47214 Oct — 95.6% peer $49 / anchor $5115 Oct — 98% peer $50 / anchor $5116 Oct — 98% peer $50 / anchor $5117 Oct — 87.7% peer $50 / anchor $5718 Oct — 94.7% peer $54 / anchor $5794.7% now28 Aug18 Oct
Ratio of Barry Sanders's 1989 Score #257 to Jerry Rice's 1986 Topps #161. Gold fill marks where the ratio sits below the baseline, rose where it sits above. The shaded stretch on the right is held out of the baseline on purpose — see the method below. Hover any point for its values; every number is in the table.
Every recorded observation
ObservedRatioPeerAnchorvs baseline
2026-10-1894.7%$54$57—
2026-10-1787.7%$50$57—
2026-10-1698%$50$51—
2026-10-1598%$50$51—
2026-10-1495.6%$49$51—
2026-10-1347.5%$224$472—
2026-10-1247.9%$225$470—
2026-10-1177.2%$213$276—
2026-10-1053.7%$224$417—
2026-10-0944.7%$210$470—
2026-10-0881.7%$49$60—
2026-10-0781.7%$49$60—
2026-10-0681.7%$49$60—
2026-10-0578.2%$49$63—
2026-10-0478.2%$49$63—
2026-10-0376.6%$48$63—
2026-10-0277.1%$48$62—
2026-10-0177.1%$48$62—
2026-09-3078.2%$48$62—
2026-09-2878.2%$48$62—
2026-09-2778.2%$48$62—
2026-09-2671.2%$50$70—
2026-09-2571.2%$50$70—
2026-09-2471.2%$50$70—
2026-09-2382.5%$50$60—
2026-09-2282.5%$50$60—
2026-09-2181.4%$50$61—
2026-09-2081.4%$50$61—
2026-09-1981.4%$50$61—
2026-09-1881.4%$50$61—
2026-09-1790.8%$50$55—
2026-09-1690.8%$50$55—
2026-09-1590.8%$50$55—
2026-09-14102.6%$54$53—
2026-09-13102.6%$54$53—
2026-09-12102.6%$54$53—
2026-09-11107.9%$54$50—
2026-09-10115%$58$50—
2026-09-09106.7%$58$54—
2026-09-08106.7%$58$54—

Why these two

Two of the most collected skill-position rookies of the late-1980s window, where the market is condition rather than scarcity — both cards are known for border chipping that keeps high grades scarce.

What would make this wrong

Junk-wax-era print runs mean supply can arrive at any time. A rising population report compresses a ratio without anyone's demand having changed, which is a compression that means nothing.

How this is measured

Priced on ungraded (raw) copies, not the PSA 9 this pairing names — the price guide returned no value for those grades on this subscription, so both cards fell back to the same basis. The ratio is a like-for-like comparison and the history is sound; the grade in the card names above is what it does not describe.

Each scan records one number: the fair value of Barry Sanders's 1989 Score #257 divided by the fair value of Jerry Rice's 1986 Topps #161, both from comparable sales. The baseline is the median of those observations over 90 days — excluding the most recent 21, so a fresh move cannot drag down the very number it is being measured against. Below 8 observations there is no baseline and this page says so instead of showing one.

The baseline is never authored. It is the median of what was recorded, or it does not exist. Nobody types a target ratio into this system.

This is an observation about a historical relationship, not a forecast. A gap that never closes means the market permanently re-rated Barry Sanders rather than temporarily forgot him — that is the risk in every pairing here, and it does not mean-revert on a schedule.

Look at the actual cards

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The ratio above is one question; whether a specific Barry Sanders listing is cheap against its own completed sales is another. Watch the card and the daily scan emails you when one is. Free, no account.

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